Published: 03 September 2026
EA leaders project that their organizations will become both more centralized and markedly more autonomous by 2032 — sketching, in combination, a consolidated and highly autonomous enterprise. Those projections capture expectations, and possibly the instinct to rein in AI risk with central control, not destiny; Gartner’s scenario analysis points instead to distributed, ecosystem-based operating models. Heads of EA should treat recentralization as a scenario to monitor, not a planning assumption.
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